Will generative AI's be this decade's version of 3D glasses?

Hi there,

...remember how every (!) movie was suddenly in 3D and we had 3D Nintendo DS, and TVs at home, etc.
It's almost no more, but now we have the "niche" 3D-glasses for that experience.

We see Gen. AI being applied everywhere these days, and I haven't read much on the different configurations (yet), but is this a spike/peak/trend that will fall again (as with 3D glasses) and find its proper use and evolve into more specialized variations?

Similarly, we have general purpose CPU's that is a super flexible (but performancewise a sub-optimal) "tool" (e.g. compared to implementing your logic/algorithm an FPGA or a dedicated ASIC).
It does the job, but not in the "optimal" way.
Is it the same with Gen. AI?

"If all you have is a hammer, everything looks like a nail"
[https://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/if_all_you_have_is_a_hammer,_everything_looks_like_a_nail]

Curious on your thoughts on that topic.
Martin

Generally speaking,  it's undoubtly true that a lot of hype is all around AI nowadays.
Despite this, achievements in the fields are also undoubtly game-changers, at least for the possibilities AI may open.
Personally, I think we're far away from Gen-AI; nevertheless, current AI achievements are comparable to invention of electronic calculators years ago.

Wait, are we talking about "generative AI" (which I think we're doing now, generating stuff with so-called AI) or "general AI" (which I agree we're far away from)?

If we mean just "generating stuff with AI", I'm thinking no, it's not a fad, it's here to stay. But I think it'll remain just an augmentation tool. This is where I deviate a little from what some others are thinking about it. I've heard people say "we won't need developers anymore", no I don't see that happening.

I could be wrong, but I hope I'm retired by then if that happens.

...

Actually let me add to that - above I was thinking in the developer and "getting work done" context. If we're talking about AI generating art and stuff like that... I think there's going to be a backlash against it. It probably won't kill it off entirely, but it'll wash away some of the hype and reduce the usage somewhat.

That's what I'm predicting anyway. We already have a term for low quality AI generated junk art/text: "AI slop". Now let's see if a generalized AI comes back in 10 years to tell me how badly my predictions aged.